Source code for modulus.metrics.climate.efi
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# TODO(Dallas) Introduce Distributed Class for computation.
import torch
from modulus.metrics.general.histogram import normal_pdf, normal_cdf, histogram
from modulus.metrics.general.entropy import _entropy_from_counts
Tensor = torch.Tensor
[docs]def efi(
pred_cdf: Tensor,
bin_edges: Tensor,
climatology_mean: Tensor,
climatology_std: Tensor,
) -> Tensor:
"""Calculates the Extreme Forecast Index (EFI) for an ensemble forecast against
a climatological distribution.
Parameters
----------
pred_cdf : Tensor
Cumulative distribution function of predictions of shape [N, ...]
where N is the number of bins. This cdf must be defined over the
passed bin_edges.
bin_edges : Tensor
Tensor of bin edges with shape [N+1, ...]
where N is the number of bins.
climatology_mean : Tensor
Tensor of climatological mean with shape [...]
climatology_std : Tensor
Tensor of climatological std with shape [...]
Returns
-------
Tensor
EFI values of each of the batched dimensions.
Note
----
Reference: https://www.atmos.albany.edu/daes/atmclasses/atm401/spring_2016/ppts_pdfs/ECMWF_EFI.pdf
"""
clim_cdf = normal_cdf(climatology_mean, climatology_std, bin_edges, grid="right")
return torch.trapz(
(clim_cdf - pred_cdf) / torch.sqrt(1e-8 + clim_cdf * (1.0 - clim_cdf)),
clim_cdf,
dim=0,
)
[docs]def normalized_entropy(
pred_pdf: Tensor,
bin_edges: Tensor,
climatology_mean: Tensor,
climatology_std: Tensor,
) -> Tensor:
"""Calculates the relative entropy, or surprise, of using the prediction distribution as opposed to the
climatology distribution.
Parameters
----------
pred_cdf : Tensor
Cumulative distribution function of predictions of shape [N, ...]
where N is the number of bins. This cdf must be defined over the
passed bin_edges.
bin_edges : Tensor
Tensor of bin edges with shape [N+1, ...]
where N is the number of bins.
climatology_mean : Tensor
Tensor of climatological mean with shape [...]
climatology_std : Tensor
Tensor of climatological std with shape [...]
Returns
-------
Tensor
Relative Entropy values of each of the batched dimensions.
Note
----
Reference: https://www.atmos.albany.edu/daes/atmclasses/atm401/spring_2016/ppts_pdfs/ECMWF_EFI.pdf
"""
clim_pdf = normal_pdf(climatology_mean, climatology_std, bin_edges, grid="right")
return 1.0 - _entropy_from_counts(pred_pdf, bin_edges) / _entropy_from_counts(
clim_pdf, bin_edges
)